TABLE 2
FROM:
Post-Maastricht Blues: The Transformation of Citizen Support for European Integration, 1973–2004
Richard C Eichenberg and Russell J Dalton
BACK TO ARTICLETable 2. Modeling convergence and post-Maastricht effects: revised regression estimates, 1974–2004
| Dependent variable=change in net support (N=496) | Parameter | Panel corrected standard error |
|---|---|---|
| Constant | -0.2.958 | 4.259 |
| Net support t-1 | ||
| Macroeconomic performance, 1974–1991 | -0.197*** | 0.032 |
| GDP | 10.745** | 4.777 |
| Inflation | -1.066*** | 0.349 |
| Unemployment | -0.207 | 0.205 |
| Trade concentration, 1974–1991 | ||
| Intra-EU export % | 0.107** | 0.049 |
| Post-Maastricht controls, 1992–2004 | ||
| GDP | -4.926 | 4.334 |
| Inflation | -0.052 | 1.254 |
| Unemployment | 0.179 | 0.256 |
| Intra-EU export % | -0.040 | 0.045 |
| Political events | ||
| UK membership referendum | 18.806*** | 5.407 |
| Danish SEA referendum | 21.037*** | 7.365 |
| National traditions | ||
| UK | -5.551*** | 1.574 |
| Denmark | -4.286*** | 1.388 |
| Ireland | 1.154 | 1.319 |
| Italy | 5.293*** | 1.235 |
| Netherlands | 3.425*** | 0.947 |
| R 2 | 0.169 | |
*** P<0.001; ** P<0.01.
Estimates follow the procedures described in Beck and Katz (1995, 1996): ordinary-least squares estimates with panel-corrected standard errors and a nation-specific correction for serial autocorrelation.
