Abstract
The EU is facing unprecedented challenges and significant threats to its economic and political security. Austerity, the Eurozone crisis, rising immigration and heightened fear of terrorism all present serious challenges to the process of integration. How does this context of insecurity impact on what the EU means to its citizens? Will the public become increasingly Eurosceptic or will they discover a hitherto unrecognised attachment to the EU as the prospect of its collapse becomes real? Psychological research has demonstrated that individual exposure to threat decreases cognitive capacity, inducing a tendency towards rigidity or conservatism – a tendency to cling to the ‘devil you know’. So what might this mean for the European integration process? Using experimental techniques drawn from political psychology, the authors find a dual threat effect. The EU symbol has a negative (anti-EU) effect on EU-related attitudes when presented in neutral context. This is consonant with conceptualisations of the EU as a threat to national cultural and political norms. In contrast, however, visual priming of participants with EU symbols has a positive (pro-EU) effect on related attitudes when symbols are presented in a context that implies a subtle but imminent threat to the benefits of EU membership.
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Experimental procedure and materials
Four versions of a printed questionnaire were placed face-down in four separate sections of the lecture theatre. Each section corresponded to a different version of the short questionnaire, specifically to a different cover page. Each section of the lecture theatre was separated from the adjacent section either by a corridor (vertically) or by a number of empty rows (horizontally). Upon arrival to the lecture theatre, students were randomly assigned by the research team to one of the four sections. The study was conducted at the beginning of class and was introduced as part of a departmental research project. Participants were not informed about the experimental nature of the study. They were first asked only to read the cover page very carefully. They were then asked to complete the short questionnaire that appeared overleaf. The cover page had ‘landscape’ orientation. The survey questions that appeared overleaf were in ‘portrait’ orientation. The cover page contained a high quality photographic image (7.5 cm × 10 cm, in colour), a title in large capitalised font, and an excerpt from a mock newspaper report. These were accompanied by brief instructions (including ‘Please read the report’). The capitalised title of the survey read ‘Social Trends Survey 2011’. The excerpt made no reference to the EU. The four versions of the cover page (two versions of the image by two versions of the excerpt) were as given in Figures A1 – A4.
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Patrikios, S., Cram, L. Better the devil you know: Threat effects and attachment to the European Union. Comp Eur Polit 14, 717–734 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1057/cep.2014.54
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/cep.2014.54