Paper

Journal of Database Marketing & Customer Strategy Management (2007) 15, 4–10. doi:10.1057/palgrave.dbm.3250071; published online 7 January 2008

Valuing customers

Thayne Forbes1

Correspondence: Thayne Forbes, Intangible Business Limited 9 Maltings Place 169 Tower Bridge Road London SE1 3JB UK. Tel: +44 (0) 870 240 7386; Fax: +44(0) 20 7089 9239; e-mail: thayne.forbes@intangiblebusiness.com; www.intangiblebusiness.com

1is a joint managing director of Intangible Business, the brand valuation, strategy and development consultancy. He is a dually qualified chartered accountant and marketer and has carried out over 100 intangible asset valuations for some of the world's biggest businesses. Intangible Business is a leading intangible asset valuation consultancy, valuing intangible assets for financial, litigation and business development purposes. He has worked in all major sectors, with companies including Allied Domecq, Laura Ashley, TimeWarner, Vodafone and Woolmark, and is also a member of The Academy of Experts, The Society of Expert Witnesses and The Institute of Expert Witnesses.

Received 3 December 2007; Revised 3 December 2007; Published online 7 January 2008.

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Abstract

This paper considers the value of customers as an important intangible asset of a business. In fact, they are arguably the most important, for without customers a business would not exist. The strategic importance of customers is discussed and their interaction, as an asset, with other important business assets such as brands is analysed. The basic methodologies for valuing customers are then explained and their limitations are considered. For all the complicated valuation techniques value really boils down to business basics and common sense — management's ability to manage customer relationships profitably.

Keywords:

customer, client, value, valuation, valuing, intangible, brand

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INTRODUCTION

There is no doubt that valuing acquired intangibles such as brands, patents and customer lists makes a lot of sense rather than placing these business critical assets in the accounting black hole known as goodwill. Are the approaches applied by accountants and the resulting values, however, equally valid for strategic planning and performance measurement or simply numbers to satisfy the information requirements of investors and efficient tax planning?

Tangible assets as such machinery, building, stocks and shares are pretty straightforward to value, their visible and corporeal nature makes them relatively easy to define and in most cases there is an active market from which value can be derived. In contrast, intangible assets are not so easily defined while it is rare that they are actively traded. Consequently, any intangible valuation exercise must start with 'What?' and 'Why?' before considering 'How?'

When we talk about valuing customer relationships, the scope of definition is expansive. On the one hand, it is simply the value that customers generate for the business. On the other hand, it is purely the value of the relationship. Neither definition is more correct than the other; however, the purpose and approach for valuing each are different. 'If you mean to profit, learn to please'.
Winston Churchill
Customers may interact with many different parts of the business — marketing communications, at point of sale, customer service, accounts department, the product itself, etc. A positive experience throughout the customer cycle should foster trust and develop loyalty, therefore allowing a business to generate more revenue for less incremental expenditure. For example

  • — Making new customers aware of a product or service, stimulating interest and convincing them to purchase is a comparatively more expensive exercise than selling to existing customers.
  • — Loyal customers tend to purchase more frequently or more volume.
  • — Happy existing customers are more willing to purchase other products or services from a company's range and try new product or service offerings.
  • — Word-of-mouth recommendation lowers the overall cost of customer acquisition.
  • — The cost of servicing existing customers can be lower as their details are already in the system, demand predicted, delivery drivers know the location, familiarity with the product and order process means less time is taken up by sales team, etc.
  • — Security of future revenues, which is much higher with happy customers.

Strategic view of customer relationship intangibles

One way of considering how customer relationships create value is within the framework of Porter's value chain (Figure 1). The chain of activities gives the products more added value than the sum of added values of all activities. It may be reasonable to suggest that it is the customer's direct or indirect relationship with each of these activities that creates value for the business.


As all activities create value from and contribute to the customer relationship, it follows that the value of the business and the value of the customer relationship could be considered to be the same.

The value chain is often criticised as a dated framework that is only applicable to manufacturing industries and considers marketing in a silo rather than encompassing the whole enterprise. A modern version of the value chain may resemble Figure 2.

Adopting this view of the world suggests that the value of the brand and the value of the customer relationship are the same (Figure 2).


Although brand and customer relationships appear to be similar, there are enough subtle differences to discount using brand value as a substitute for the value of a customer relationship. For example, in business-to-business or service businesses such as consultancies or solicitors, a customer's relationship may be purely with key personnel regardless of the brand. Furthermore, a brand's sphere of influence extends beyond customer relations — a brand also has a relationship with the staff (helps recruit and retain), with suppliers (improved negotiating position) and external stakeholders (investors and government). Hence, it would be unreasonable to attribute such financial benefits generated by the brand to a customer relationship.

In contrast, there are demand drivers that cannot be attributed to the brand but can have a significant influence on the customer's relationship with a business. For example, inertia is considered to be the single biggest driver of customer retention in the banking industry; clearly, this is not attributable to brand and therefore could be considered as part of the customer relationship value. A convenient location is another important driver in many businesses (eg grocery stores) that is not attributable to brand and instead could be valued as part of the customer relationship or the property (Figure 3).

Figure 3.
Figure 3 - Unfortunately we are unable to provide accessible alternative text for this. If you require assistance to access this image, please contact help@nature.com or the author

Overlap of brand and customer relationship

Full figure and legend (35K)

Overall, from the point of view of performance measurement and strategic planning, the value and definition of a firm's relationship with its customers may not be particularly relevant. It is more practical and beneficial to determine the value generated per customer from the assets employed in the business to measure performance and plan for the future.

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TECHNICAL VIEW OF CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP INTANGIBLES

The concept of customer value discussed above for strategic purposes is very different from the accepted definitions applied by those involved in carrying out technical valuations for financial reporting.

The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) classifies intangible assets into five categories — marketing related, contract based, technology based, customer related and artistic based. For financial reporting, an intangible asset should be recognised as an asset apart from goodwill if it arises from contractual or other legal rights. An intangible asset may also be recognised only if it is separable, that is, that it is capable of being sold, transferred, licensed, rented or exchanged.

The examples of customer-related intangibles provided by the IASB are customer lists, order backlog, customer contracts and non-contractual customer relationships. A customer list can be sold or exploited while an order backlog and customer contracts have a confirmed income stream associated with them. Consequently, all three can be readily valued using one of the approaches discussed below. In contrast, non-contractual customer relationships are softer assets and encapsulate the unsecured future income from customers. It is rare for this latter category to be separately identified and reported on financial statements; instead, it is usually lumped into the unallocatable goodwill bucket.

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CONCLUSION

Valuing intangible assets, in particular customer-related intangibles, is clearly not a straightforward exercise. Each valuation method prescribed by accountants has different strengths, weaknesses and complexities and yet none are able to provide an indisputably accurate and reliable value. Although these values are not as robust as we would hope, it is certainly better to attempt to attribute value to intangible assets than classifying everything as goodwill.

Many appraisers specialising in intangible assets would typically consider all three valuation approaches but in most instances rely on an income-based approach as a primary method and use market-based approaches for supporting evidence. Multiples of revenues, profits and assets, and other such rules of thumb are sufficient for benchmarking and as a sense check but are by no means robust enough to be relied upon in their own right. During the dot.com madness, many of the inflated valuations were due to lazy investment appraisals based on spurious rules of thumb such as customer lifetime value. In this way, valuing intangible assets is more of an art than a science; applying several supporting methodologies and a modicum of common sense provides sufficient confidence in a valuation result.

In any case, regardless of whether you call the asset brand, customer relationship or whatever, fundamentally what we are attempting to evaluate is management's ability to manage customer relationships while profitably exploiting the assets employed.

For strategic purposes, the value of an intangible asset in its own right is not particularly relevant; however, an understanding of how this value is comprised and the key metrics that impact on the assets' contribution to business performance can be extremely beneficial for management decision making. Common business performance metrics such as profit or revenue per customer, returns on investment, capital employed or assets, brand awareness, preference, response rates, retention and lapse rates are ultimately far more pertinent to day-to-day business management and longer-term planning than any spurious intangible asset value.

Successful businesses are skilled at managing their customers profitably. After all, customers are the reason for the businesses' existence.