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December 2004, Volume 47, Number 4, Pages 115-120
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| Local/Global Encounters |
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| Success is Extinction: Scenario Planning in INGOs1 |
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| Neil MacDonald |
1The author is an independent consultant, specializing in scenario planning for development organizations. In addition to the scenarios described here, he has facilitated scenarios for DFID and for Save the Children UK. The author would like to thank CARE UK, CARE North Sudan and CARE South Sudan for permission to quote elements of their analyses.
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| Abstract |
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Neil MacDonald outlines a case study of an approach to planning that embraces unpredictability for northern-based charity- or project-run international NGOs. The approach is scenario analysis, widely used in the private sector since the 1970s, but only now beginning to make its appearance in the development sector. He illustrates the power of the tool in helping INGOs to confront unexpected possibilities by showing how CARE International UK and CARE in the Sudan, both used scenario planning to clarify their role and objectives.
Development (2004) 47, 115-120. doi:10.1057/palgrave.development.1100080 |
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| Keywords |
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strategic conversation; viability; relevance; Sudan; consensus building |
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