Abstract
Some argue that corporate finance and governance practices were among the root causes of the Asian crisis. It is alleged that high and increasing corporate debt ratios were partly to blame. This claim is overstated: only South Korea and arguably Thailand had leverage ratios significantly above the G7 range, and only South Korea had an income-gearing ratio higher than the G7. Although the reliance on short-term debt was high, there was no drastic change in the maturity structure of debt before the crash. However, conventional factors are relatively more successful in explaining leverage for firms that were less closely connected to the relationship-based financing system. Our paper links to ongoing research on investor protection, cronyism, connections between business and government, and business groups. It ends by commenting on the 2008 financial crisis, currently engulfing the world, and highlights some similarities and paradoxes.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The high reliance on short-term debt might be potentially caused by limited access to long-term debt; by lenders feeling that their rights would be better protected with short-term debt; or by the cost of rolling over short-term debt being perceived to be cheaper than long-term debt. However, it is difficult to see why the first two explanations should apply to Hong Kong and Singapore.
The coefficients (t-statistics), for the highest M/B quartile are: Hong Kong −0.05 (1.83), Korea −0.1 (1.34) and Malaysia −0.03 (2.11). The coefficients in the lowest M/B quartiles in Hong Kong and Korea are positive and significant.
The coefficients in the low- and high-profitability quartiles (with t-ratios) are: Hong Kong −0.68 (−2.90) to −2.20 (−1.98), Indonesia −3.97 (−2.98) to −2.10 (−2.31), Korea −1.23 (−3.39) to −2.60 (−4.79), Malaysia −0.12 (−0.07) to −0.81 (−0.92), Singapore −0.19 (−0.31) to −1.41 (−1.61) and Thailand −1.46 (−1.08) to −3.63 (−3.41), respectively. The differences in the coefficients are significant at 5%.
The 14th largest chaebol, Hanbo, borrowed US$5.8 billion, much of it without any collateral (Marriott, 1997).
References
Agmon, T. 2006. Bringing financial economics into international business research: Taking advantage of a paradigm change. Journal of International Business Studies, 37 (5): 575–577.
Allayannis, G., Brown, G., & Klapper, L. 2003. Capital structure and financial risk: Evidence from foreign debt use in East Asia. Journal of Finance, 58 (6): 2667–2709.
Atkin, M., & Glen, J. 1992. Comparing capital structures around the globe. International Executive, 34 (5): 369–387.
Backman, M. 1999. Asian eclipse: Exposing the dark side of business in Asia. Singapore: John Wiley.
Bank for International Settlements. 1997. The maturity, sectoral and nationality distribution of international bank lending. Basel: BIS.
Bank for International Settlements. 1998. Financial intermediation and the Asian crisis: 68th annual report. Basel: BIS.
Barclay, M., & Smith, C. 1995. The maturity structure of corporate debt. Journal of Finance, 50 (2): 609–631.
Berger, A., & Udell, G. 1995. Relationship lending and lines of credit in small firm finance. Journal of Business, 68 (3): 351–381.
Booth, L., Aivazian, V., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. 2001. Capital structures in developing countries. Journal of Finance, 56 (1): 87–130.
Bos, T., & Fetherston, T. 1993. Capital structure practices on the Pacific Rim. Research in International Business and Finance, 10: 53–66.
Buckley, P. 2002. Is the international business research agenda running out of steam? Journal of International Business Studies, 33 (2): 365–373.
Burton, D., & Zanello, A. 2007. Asia ten years after. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2007/06/burton.htm. Accessed 13 October 2007.
Chang, H.-J., Park, H.-J., & Yoo, C. 2001. Interpreting the Korean crisis. In H.-J. Chang, J. G. Palma & D. H. Whittaker (Eds), Financial liberalization and the Asian crisis: 140–155. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Chang, S., Chung, C., & Mahmood, I. 2006. When and how does business group affiliation promote firm innovation? A tale of two emerging economies. Organization Science, 17 (5): 637–656.
Chong-Tae, K. 1998. Surgery of the chaebols. Business Korea, 15 (January): 34–35.
Claessens, S., Djankov, S., & Klapper, L. 2003. Resolution of corporate distress in East Asia. Journal of Empirical Finance, 10 (1–2): 199–216.
Corsetti, G., Pesenti, P., & Roubini, N. 1999. What caused the Asian currency and financial crisis? Japan and the World Economy, 11 (3): 305–373.
Delhaise, P. 1998. Asia in crisis: The implosion of the banking and finance systems. Singapore: John Wiley.
Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. 1999. Institutions, financial markets, and firm debt maturity. Journal of Financial Economics, 54 (3): 295–336.
Dissanaike, G. 1997. Do stock market investors overreact? Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 24 (1): 27–49.
Economist. 2007. Gold from the storm – East Asian economies. 30 June: 83.
Fama, E., & French, K. 1992. The cross-section of expected stock returns. Journal of Finance, 47 (2): 427–465.
Financial Times. 2008. Asia looks to IMF relations 10 years after its own crisis. 10 November: 3.
Fischer, S. 1998. The Asian crisis: A view from the IMF. Paper presented at the mid-winter conference of the Bankers’ Association for Foreign Trade, January. http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/1998/012298.htm, accessed 15 February 2008.
Fogel, K. 2006. Oligarchic family control, social economic outcomes, and the quality of government. Journal of International Business Studies, 37 (5): 603–622.
Frankel, J. A. 2005. Contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. IMF Staff Papers, 52 (2): 149–192.
Fukuda, S., & Kon, Y. 2007. Liquidity risk aversion, debt maturity, and current account surpluses: A theory and evidence from East Asia. Working Paper W13004, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Harris, M., & Raviv, A. 1991. The theory of capital structure. Journal of Finance, 66 (1): 297–349.
Harvey, C., Lins, K., & Roper, A. 2002. The effect of capital structure when expected agency costs are extreme. Journal of Financial Economics, 74 (1): 3–30.
Heinkel, R. 1982. A theory of capital structure relevance under imperfect information. Journal of Finance, 37 (5): 1141–1150.
Ito, T. 2007. Asian currency crisis and the International Monetary Fund, 10 years later: Overview. Asian Economic Policy Review, 2 (1): 16–49.
Jiangli, W., Unal, H., & Yom, C. 2006. Relationship lending, accounting disclosure and credit availability during the Asian financial crisis. Robert H. Smith School Research Paper 06-022, University of Maryland.
Joh, W. S. 2003. Corporate governance and firm profitability: Evidence from Korea before the economic crisis. Journal of Financial Economics, 68 (2): 287–322.
Kawai, M., Hahm, H., & Iarossi, G. 1999. Corporate foreign debt in East Asia: Too much or too little? Paper presented at the World Bank conference on “Asian corporate recovery”, Bangkok, March/April, http://www.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~kawai/pdffiles/respa/wb2000.pdf, accessed 2 April 2009.
Khanna, T., & Yafeh, Y. 2007. Business groups in emerging markets: Paragons or parasites? Journal of Economic Literature, 45 (2): 331–372.
Khatri, N., Tsang, E., & Begley, T. 2006. Cronyism: A cross cultural analysis. Journal of International Business Studies, 37 (1): 61–75.
Krugman, P. 1998. What happened to Asia? http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/DISINTER.html. Accessed 15 March 2005.
Kwok, C., & Tadesse, S. 2006. National culture and financial systems. Journal of International Business Studies, 37 (2): 227–247.
Lee, C., & Biers, D. 1998. Remaking Korea. Far Eastern Economic Review, 30 (April): 10–13.
Leuz, C., & Oberholzer-Gee, F. 2006. Political relationships, global financing and corporate transparency: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Financial Economics, 81 (2): 411–435.
Lim, U. 1995. Corporate ownership structure and corporate governance mechanism: With experience of Korean firms. Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics and Finance, 1: 293–310.
Marriott, C. 1997. Chaebol: Misfits of global finance. Global Finance, 11 (3): 34–37.
Myers, S. 1977. Determinants of corporate borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics, 5 (2): 147–175.
Myers, S., & Majluf, N. 1984. Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13 (2): 187–221.
Pomerleano, M. 2007. Corporate financial restructuring in Asia: Implications for financial stability. BIS Quarterly Review (September): 87–94.
Price Waterhouse. 1995–1996. Corporate taxes: A worldwide summary. New York: Price Waterhouse.
Radelet, S., & Sachs, J. 1998. The onset of the East Asian financial crisis. Working Paper W6680, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Rajan, R., & Zingales, L. 1995. What do we know about capital structure? Some evidence from international data. Journal of Finance, 50 (5): 1421–1460.
Reinhart, C., & Rogoff, K. 2008. This time is different: A panoramic view of eight centuries of financial crises. http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/rogoff/files/This_Time_Is_Different_SHORT.pdf. Accessed 14 November 2008.
Rodriguez, P., Siegel, D. S., Hillman, A., & Eden, L. 2006. Three lenses on the multinational enterprise: Politics, corruption, and corporate social responsibility. Journal of International Business Studies, 37 (6): 733–746.
Ross, S. 1977. The determination of financial structure: The incentive signalling approach. Bell Journal of Economics, 8 (2): 23–40.
Shenkar, O. 2004. One more time: International business in a global economy. Journal of International Business Studies, 35 (2): 161–171.
Singh, A. 1995. Corporate financial patterns in industrializing economies: A comparative international study. IFC Technical Paper 2, Washington, DC.
Singh, A. 2003. Competition, corporate governance, and selection in emerging markets. Economic Journal, 113 (491): 443–464.
Stiglitz, J. 1999. Lessons from East Asia. Journal of Policy Modelling, 21 (3): 311–330.
Stiglitz, J. 2007. The Asian crisis ten years after. http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/stiglitz8. Accessed 12 November 2007.
Wan, W., Yiu, D., Hoskisson, R., & Kim, H. 2008. The performance implications of relationship banking during macroeconomic expansion and contraction: A study of Japanese banks’ social relationship and overseas expansion. Journal of International Business Studies, 39 (3): 406–427.
Weiner, R. 2005. Speculation in international crises: Report from the Gulf. Journal of International Business Studies, 36 (5): 576–587.
World Bank. 1993. The East Asian miracle: Economic growth and public policy. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
World Bank. 1995. World development report. Washington, DC: World Bank.
World Bank. 1998. World development indicators. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to Lorraine Eden, Arie Lewin, the anonymous referees, Dong He, Paul Kattuman, Bart Lambrecht, Kim-Hwa Lim and Geoff Whittington for comments on earlier drafts.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Accepted by Lorraine Eden, Departmental Editor, 22 January 2009. This paper has been with the authors for four revisions.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Dissanaike, G., Markar, I. ARTICLES. J Int Bus Stud 40, 990–1004 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2009.13
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2009.13