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Corporate financing in East Asia before the 1997 crash

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Abstract

Some argue that corporate finance and governance practices were among the root causes of the Asian crisis. It is alleged that high and increasing corporate debt ratios were partly to blame. This claim is overstated: only South Korea and arguably Thailand had leverage ratios significantly above the G7 range, and only South Korea had an income-gearing ratio higher than the G7. Although the reliance on short-term debt was high, there was no drastic change in the maturity structure of debt before the crash. However, conventional factors are relatively more successful in explaining leverage for firms that were less closely connected to the relationship-based financing system. Our paper links to ongoing research on investor protection, cronyism, connections between business and government, and business groups. It ends by commenting on the 2008 financial crisis, currently engulfing the world, and highlights some similarities and paradoxes.

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Notes

  1. Burton and Zanello (2007), Claessens, Djankov and Klapper (2003), Corsetti, Pesenti and Roubini (1999), Economist (2007), Lee and Biers (1998), Pomerleano (2007).

  2. The high reliance on short-term debt might be potentially caused by limited access to long-term debt; by lenders feeling that their rights would be better protected with short-term debt; or by the cost of rolling over short-term debt being perceived to be cheaper than long-term debt. However, it is difficult to see why the first two explanations should apply to Hong Kong and Singapore.

  3. The coefficients (t-statistics), for the highest M/B quartile are: Hong Kong −0.05 (1.83), Korea −0.1 (1.34) and Malaysia −0.03 (2.11). The coefficients in the lowest M/B quartiles in Hong Kong and Korea are positive and significant.

  4. The coefficients in the low- and high-profitability quartiles (with t-ratios) are: Hong Kong −0.68 (−2.90) to −2.20 (−1.98), Indonesia −3.97 (−2.98) to −2.10 (−2.31), Korea −1.23 (−3.39) to −2.60 (−4.79), Malaysia −0.12 (−0.07) to −0.81 (−0.92), Singapore −0.19 (−0.31) to −1.41 (−1.61) and Thailand −1.46 (−1.08) to −3.63 (−3.41), respectively. The differences in the coefficients are significant at 5%.

  5. The 14th largest chaebol, Hanbo, borrowed US$5.8 billion, much of it without any collateral (Marriott, 1997).

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to Lorraine Eden, Arie Lewin, the anonymous referees, Dong He, Paul Kattuman, Bart Lambrecht, Kim-Hwa Lim and Geoff Whittington for comments on earlier drafts.

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Accepted by Lorraine Eden, Departmental Editor, 22 January 2009. This paper has been with the authors for four revisions.

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Dissanaike, G., Markar, I. ARTICLES. J Int Bus Stud 40, 990–1004 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2009.13

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