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Optimal allocation of digital marketing budget: The empirical Bayes approach

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Abstract

The article outlines a framework for online advertising budget allocation. First, it explores the empirical Bayes methodology for learning the effectiveness of different online ad placements – from historical data of varying quality. Second, it describes an analytical procedure for optimal budget allocation, which builds on risk management and reinforcement learning techniques.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

1recently a manager of marketing analytics at BlackRock, where he was responsible for marketing campaign reporting and led multiple analytics projects including evaluation of marketing effectiveness, marketing mix modeling, optimization of advertising spend and customer lifetime value monitoring. He holds a bachelor’s in business economics and international relations from Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University, and a Master of Science in marketing from Columbia Business School. He is currently pursuing an MS at Stanford University in the field of decision analysis and artificial intelligence.

Appendices

Appendix A

Beta function

The Beta function B(α, β) is defined by the integral

Alternatively, the Beta function can be expressed in terms of Gamma functions.

Appendix B

Entropy calculation

We measure spend diversification using the entropy formula from information theory, where P(x i ) indicates a proportion of budget to be spent on a particular ad placement.

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Tkachenko, Y. Optimal allocation of digital marketing budget: The empirical Bayes approach. J Market Anal 2, 162–172 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1057/jma.2014.14

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/jma.2014.14

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