TABLE 1
FROM:
Forecasting and operational research: a review
R Fildes, K Nikolopoulos, S F Crone and A A Syntetos
BACK TO ARTICLETable 1. Forecasting topics published in OR journals: 1985–2006
| Coding | % of papers in different groups of journals, coded by topic | |
|---|---|---|
| OR journal articles included in the Citation Indices (1985–2006) | Forecasting journals (1982–1985, J. Forecasting, 1985–1988, Int. J. Forecasting: both journals 2001–2004) | |
| (Total no. of forecasting papers) | (879) | (558) |
| Organizational aspects | 3.0 | 3.4 |
| Forecaster behaviour | 2.6 | 5.7 |
| Methods | ||
| Univariate (either methodological or an evaluation) | 6.1 | 27.2 |
| Causal and multivariate methods | 5.0 | 21.5 |
| Computer-Intensive Methods (Non-linear statistical methods, neural nets) | 17.4 | 13.4 |
| Judgement | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Combining | 6.1 | 3.8 |
| Uncertainty (including ARCH etc) | 5.7 | 10.9 (approx.) |
| Applications to operations | ||
| Method selection (methods of forecast comparison) | 4.9 | 8.8 |
| Intermittent demand | 3.4 | 0 |
| Supply chain planning and inventory management, demand uncertainty in the supply chain: collaboration/info. sharing/Bullwhip | 13.0 | 0.4 |
| Marketing applications | ||
| New products/diffusion/trend curves/ | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Demand, market share models and marketing effects | 7.8 | 2.7 |
| Customer relationship management, credit risk and data mining | 4.0 | 0.4 |
| IT, IS and FSS | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| Other applications | ||
| Long term/scenario planning | 2.0 | 3.9* (a special issue on 'foresight') |
| Accounting & finance (including exchange rate forecasting) | 16.3 | 14.7 |
Articles identified through searching for 'Forecast* OR Predict*' in title/keywords/abstract and then evaluated for relevance to forecasting. Some papers have been described by more than one keyword and some forecasting papers do not fall within the above categories. The third column shows the results of Fildes (2006) analysis of the forecasting journals.