TABLE 2
FROM:
Forecasting and operational research: a review
R Fildes, K Nikolopoulos, S F Crone and A A Syntetos
BACK TO ARTICLETable 2. Most cited forecasting articles published between 1985 and 2006
| Rank | Article | Citations |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kahneman, D. and Lovallo, D. (1993). Timid choices and bold forecasts—A cognitive perspective on risk-taking. Management Science 39(1), 17–31. | 214 |
| 2 | Tam, K.Y. and Kiang, M.Y. (1992). Managerial applications of neural networks—The case of bank failure predictions. Management Science 38(7), 926–947. | 189 |
| 3 | Chen, F. et al. (2000). Quantifying the bullwhip effect in a simple supply chain: The impact of forecasting, lead times, and information. Management Science 46(3), 436–443. | 147 |
| 4 | Bolton, R.N. (1998). A dynamic model of the duration of the customer's relationship with a continuous service provider: The role of satisfaction. Marketing Science 17(1), 45–65. | 133 |
| 5 | Salchenberger, L.M., Cinar, E.M. and Lash, N.A. (1992). Neural networks—A new tool for predicting thrift failures. Decision Sciences 23(4), 899–916. | 110 |
| 6 | Fisher, M. and Raman, A. (1996). Reducing the cost of demand uncertainty through accurate response to early sales. Operations Research 44(1), 87–99. | 107 |
| 7 | Hardie, B.G.S., Johnson, E.J. and Fader, P.S. (1993). Modeling loss aversion and reference dependence effects on brand choice. Marketing Science 12(4), 378–394. | 95 |
| 8 | Erdem, T. and Keane, M.P. (1996). Decision-making under uncertainty: Capturing dynamic brand choice processes in turbulent consumer goods markets. Marketing Science 15(1), 1–20. | 93 |
| 9 | Haubl, G. and Trifts, V. (2000). Consumer decision making in online shopping environments: The effects of interactive decision aids. Marketing Science 19(1), 4–21. | 92 |
| 10 | Mangasarian, O.L., Street, W.N. and Wolberg, W.H. (1995). Breast-cancer diagnosis and prognosis via linear-programming. Operations Research 43(4), 570–577. | 83 |
| 11 | Wilson, R.L. and Sharda, R. (1994). Bankruptcy prediction using neural networks. Decision Support Systems 11(5), 545–557. | 80 |
| 12 | Gardner, E.S. and McKenzie, E. (1985). Forecasting trends in time-series. Management Science 31(10), 1237–1246. | 74 |
| 13 | Lawrence, M.J., Edmundson, R.H. and Oconnor, M.J. (1986). The accuracy of combining judgmental and statistical forecasts. Management Science 32(12), 1521–1532. | 72 |
| 14 | Chintagunta, P.K. (1993). Investigating purchase incidence, brand choice and purchase quantity decisions of households. Marketing Science 12(2), 184–208. | 72 |
| 15 | Bunn, D. and Wright, G. (1991). Interaction of judgmental and statistical forecasting methods—issues and analysis. Management Science 37(5), 501–518. | 65 |
| 16 | Bult. J.R. and Wansbeek, T. (1995). Optimal selection for direct mail. Marketing Science 14(4), 378–394. | 65 |
| 17 | Collopy, F. and Armstrong, J.S. Rule-based forecasting—development and validation of an expert systems–approach to combining time-series extrapolations. Management Science 38(10), 1394–1414. | 57 |
| 18 | Ashton, A.H. and Ashton, R.H. (1985). Aggregating subjective forecasts—some empirical results.Management Science 31(12), 1499–1508. | 56 |
| 19 | Donohue, K.L. (2000). Efficient supply contracts for fashion goods with forecast updating and two production modes. Management Science 46(11), 1397–1411. | 53 |
| 20 | Sanders, N.R. and Manrodt, K.B. (1994). Forecasting practices in United-States Corporations—survey results. Interfaces 24(2), 92–100. | 52 |
| 21 | Cachon, G.P. and Lariviere, M.A. (2001). Contracting to assure supply: How to share demand forecasts in a supply chain. Management Science 47(5), 629–646. | 50 |
