Skip to main content
Log in

Perceptions of climate-related risks and awareness of climate change of fish cage farmers in northern Thailand

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Risk Management Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

How climate risks are understood and perceived by farmers is important because it can influence their management practices. Farmers in Northern Thailand who rear fish in floating cages in rivers can cope with modest fluctuations in water levels, but appear vulnerable to more extreme changes in flow. This study used in-depth interviews and a quantitative survey across many sites to explore how fish farmers perceive climate-related risks and understand climate change. Important climate-related risks – such as floods and droughts – vary by season, year and location, and are modified by water infrastructure. Recent experience of negative impacts increases levels of concern about risks. Risks from droughts were perceived to have significantly worsened. The overall level of awareness of climate change among fish farmers is high, suggesting that future work should focus on building on from how farmers manage risks under the current climate, to then take into account climate change. This study shows that a good understanding of risk perception is likely to be important in improving climate risk management, and thus adaptation to climate change.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ahmed, N., Bunting, S.W., Rahman, S. and Garforth, C.J. (2013) Community-based climate change adaptation strategies for integrated prawn-fish-rice farming in Bangladesh to promote social-ecological resilience. Reviews in Aquaculture 5: 1–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ahsan, D. and Roth, E. (2010) Farmers’ perceived risks and risk management strategies in an emerging mussel aquaculture industry in Denmark. Marine Resource Economics 25 (3): 309–323.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ahsan, D.A. (2011) Farmers’ motivations, risk perceptions and risk management strategies in a developing economy: Bangladesh experience. Journal of Risk Research 14 (3): 325–349.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alpizar, F., Carlsson, F. and Naranjo, M.A. (2011) The effect of ambiguous risk, and coordination on farmers’ adaptation to climate change – A framed field experiment. Ecological Economics 70 (12): 2317–2326.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baird, J., Plummer, R., Haug, C. and Huitema, D. (2014) Learning effects of interactive decision-making processes for climate change adaptation. Global Environmental Change 27 (0): 51–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnes, A. and Toma, L. (2012) A typology of dairy farmer perceptions towards climate change. Climatic Change 112 (2): 507–522.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Belton, B. and Little, D. (2008) The development of aquaculture in Central Thailand: Domestic demand versus export-led production. Journal of Agrarian Change 8 (1): 123–143.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Birkmann, J., Chang Seng, D. and Setiadi, N. (2013) Enhancing early warning in the light of migration and environmental shocks. Environmental Science & Policy 27 (1): S76–S88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bosma, R.H., Nhan, D.K., Udo, H.M.J. and Kaymak, U. (2012) Factors affecting farmers’ adoption of integrated rice-fish farming systems in the Mekong delta, Vietnam. Reviews in Aquaculture 4 (3): 178–190.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Callaway, R. et al (2012) Review of climate change impacts on marine aquaculture in the UK and Ireland. Aquatic Conservation-Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems 22 (3): 389–421.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chaibu, P., Ungsethaphand, T. and Maneesri, S. (2004) The costs and returns of Tilapia and Tubtim (Red Tilapia) cage culture in Chiang Mai province, Thailand [in Thai]. Journal of Fisheries 57 (3): 244–250.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Silva, S. and Soto, D. (2009) Climate change and aquaculture: Potential impacts, adaptation and mitigation. In: K. Cochrane, C. De Young, G. Soto, and T. Bahri (eds.) Climate Change Implications for Fisheries and Aquaculture: Overview of Current Scientific Knowledge. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Paper 530. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, pp. 151–212.

  • Duckett, D. and Busby, J. (2013) Risk amplification as social attribution. Risk Management 15 (2): 132–153.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frost, M., Baxter, J.M., Buckley, P.J., Cox, M., Dye, S.R. and Withers Harvey, N. (2012) Impacts of climate change on fish, fisheries and aquaculture. Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems 22 (3): 331–336.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ghadim, A.K.A., Pannell, D.J. and Burton, M.P. (2005) Risk, uncertainty, and learning in adoption of a crop innovation. Agricultural Economics 33 (1): 1–9.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grothmann, T. and Patt, A. (2005) Adaptive capacity and human cognition: The process of individual adaptation to climate change. Global Environmental Change 15 (3): 199–213.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hosmer, D. and Lemeshow, S. (2000) Applied Logistic Regression. 2nd edn. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Islam, M.M., Barnes, A. and Toma, L. (2013) An investigation into climate change scepticism among farmers. Journal of Environmental Psychology 34 (0): 137–150.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kasperson, J.X., Kasperson, R.E., Pidgeon, N. and Slovic, P. (2003) The social amplification of risk: Assessing fifteen years of research and theory. In: N. Pidgeon, R.E. Kasperson and P. Slovic (eds.) The Social Amplification of Risk. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 13–46.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Kost, A., Läderach, P., Fisher, M., Cook, S. and Gómez, L. (2012) Improving index-based drought insurance in varying topography: Evaluating basis risk based on perceptions of Nicaraguan hillside farmers. PLoS ONE 7 (12): e51412. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0051412.

  • Kunreuther, H., Heal, G., Allen, M., Edenhofer, O., Field, C. and Yohe, G. (2013) Risk management and climate change. Nature Climate Change 3: 447–450.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kuruppu, N. and Liverman, D. (2011) Mental preparation for climate adaptation: The role of cognition and culture in enhancing adaptive capacity of water management in Kiribati. Global Environmental Change 21 (2): 657–669.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Le, T.C. and Cheong, F. (2010) Perceptions of risk and risk management in Vietnamese catfish farming: An empirical study. Aquaculture Economics & Management 14 (4): 282–314.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Le, T.C., Cheong, F. and Cheong, C. (2012) Developing a risk management DSS for supporting sustainable Vietnamese catfish farming. 45th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences: IEEE Computer Society.

  • Lebel, P., Chaibu, P. and Lebel, L. (2009) Women farm fish: Gender and commercial fish cage culture on the Upper Ping River, northern Thailand. Gender, Technology and Development 13 (2): 199–224.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lebel, L., Grothmann, T. and Siebenhuner, B. (2010) The role of social learning in adaptiveness: Insights from water management. International Environmental Agreements 10: 333–353.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lebel, P. et al (2013) River-based cage aquaculture of Tilapia in northern Thailand: Sustainability of rearing and business practices. Natural Resources 4 (5): 410–421.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lebel, P., Whangchai, N., Chitmanat, C., Promya, J. and Lebel, L. (2015a) Climate risk management in river-based Tilapia cage culture in northern Thailand. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management.

  • Lebel, P., Whangchai, N., Chitmanat, C., Promya, J. and Lebel, L. (2015b) Risk of impacts from extreme weather and climate in river-based Tilapia cage culture in northern Thailand. International Journal of Global Warming 9 (1).

  • Leiserowitz, A. (2006) Climate change risk perception and policy preferences: The role of affect, imagery, and values. Climatic Change 77: 45–77.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Leppälä, J., Murtonen, M. and Kauranen, I. (2012) Farm risk map: A contextual tool for risk identification and sustainable management on farms. Risk Management 14: 42–59.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manandhar, S., Vogt, D.S., Perret, S.R. and Kazama, F. (2011) Adapting cropping systems to climate change in Nepal: A cross-regional study of farmers’ perception and practices. Regional Environmental Change 11 (2): 335–348.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McCright, A. (2010) The effects of gender on climate change knowledge and concern in the American public. Population and Environment 32 (1): 66–87.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Menapace, L., Colson, G. and Raffaelli, R. (2013) Risk aversion, subjective beliefs, and farmer risk management strategies. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 95 (2): 384–389.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moser, S.C. (2010) Communicating climate change: History, challenges, process and future directions. WIREs Climate Change 1 (1): 31–53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nerlich, B., Koteyko, N. and Brown, B. (2010) Theory and language of climate change communication. WIREs Climate Change 1: 97–110.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nielsen, T., Keil, A. and Zeller, M. (2013) Assessing farmers’ risk preferences and their determinants in a marginal upland area of Vietnam: A comparison of multiple elicitation techniques. Agricultural Economics 44 (3): 255–273.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pant, J., Demaine, H. and Edwards, P. (2004) Assessment of the aquaculture subsystem in integrated agriculture-aquaculture systems in northeast Thailand. Aquaculture Research 35 (3): 289–298.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patt, A.G. and Schröter, D. (2008) Perceptions of climate risk in Mozambique: Implications for the success of adaptation strategies. Global Environmental Change 18 (3): 458–467.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pickering, T. et al (2011) Vulnerability of aquaculture in the tropical Pacific to climate change. In: J. Bell, J. Johnson and A.J. Hobday (eds.) Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change. Noumea, New Caledonia: Secretariat of the Pacific Community, pp. 647–731.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pimolrat, P., Whangchai, N., Chitmanat, C., Promya, J. and Lebel, L. (2013) Survey of climate-related risks to Tilapia pond farms in northern Thailand. International Journal of Geosciences 4: 54–59.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rabinovich, A., Morton, T.A. and Birney, M.E. (2012) Communicating climate science: The role of perceived communicator’s motives. Journal of Environmental Psychology 32 (1): 11–18.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rao, K.P.C., Ndegwa, W.G., Kizito, K. and Oyoo, A. (2011) Climate variability and change: Farmer perceptions and understanding of intra-seasonal variability in rainfall and associated risk in semi-arid Kenya. Experimental Agriculture 47 (2): 267–291.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raymond, C. and Spoehr, J. (2013) The acceptability of climate change in agricultural communities: Comparing responses across variability and change. Journal of Environmental Management 115: 69–77.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Regassa, N. and Stoecker, B.J. (2014) Attitude and risk perceptions about climate change in farming communities in Southern Ethiopia. Environmental Practice 16 (1): 29–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Renn, O. and Klinke, A. (2012) Complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity in inclusive risk governance. In: T. Measham and S. Lockie (eds.) Risk and Social Theory in Environmental Management. Collingwood: CSIRO Publishing, pp. 59–76.

    Google Scholar 

  • Safi, A., Smith, W. and Liu, Z. (2012) Rural Nevada and climate change: Vulnerability, beliefs, and risk perception. Risk Analysis 32 (6): 1041–1059.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Simelton, E. et al (2013) Is rainfall really changing? Farmers’ perceptions, meteorological data, and policy implications. Climate and Development 5 (2): 123–138.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sjöberg, L. (2007) Emotions and risk perception. Risk Management 9: 223–237.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Su, Y., Sun, X.p. and Zhao, F. (2015) Trust and its effects on the public’s perception of flood risk: A social science investigation of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river. Journal of Flood Risk Management.

  • Sundblad, E.-L., Biel, A. and Gärling, T. (2007) Cognitive and affective risk judgements related to climate change. Journal of Environmental Psychology 27 (2): 97–106.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Travis, W.R. (2014) What is climate risk management? Climate Risk Management 1: 1–4.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tucker, C.M., Eakin, H. and Castellanos, E.J. (2010) Perceptions of risk and adaptation: Coffee producers, market shocks, and extreme weather in Central America and Mexico. Global Environmental Change 20 (1): 23–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Visschers, V. and Siegrist, M. (2008) Exploring the triangular relationship between trust, affect, and risk perception: A review of the literature. Risk Management 10: 156–167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weber, E.U. (2010) What shapes perceptions of climate change? WIREs Climate Change 1: 332–342.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wise, R.M. et al (2014) Reconceptualising adaptation to climate change as part of pathways of change and response. Global Environmental Change 28: 325–336.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yazdi, S. and Shakouri, B. (2010) The effects of climate change on aquaculture. International Journal of Environmental Science and Development 1 (5): 378–382.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yi, Y. and Lin, C.K. (2001) Effects of biomass of caged Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) and aeration on the growth and yields in an integrated cage-cum-pond system. Aquaculture 195 (3–4): 253–267.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was carried out with the aid of a grant from the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada, as a contribution to the AQUADAPT project. Thanks to the many field assistants, students, officials and farmers who helped with the surveys.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Louis Lebel.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Lebel, P., Whangchai, N., Chitmanat, C. et al. Perceptions of climate-related risks and awareness of climate change of fish cage farmers in northern Thailand. Risk Manag 17, 1–22 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1057/rm.2015.4

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/rm.2015.4

Keywords

Navigation