Skip to main content
Log in

Incorporating cancel and rebook behavior in revenue management optimization

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management Aims and scope

Abstract

Building on existing fare adjustment methodology for airline revenue management, this article investigates an approach to account for passenger cancel and rebook behavior. Under cancel and rebook assumptions, passengers continuously search for lower priced alternatives for their travel plans (same flights, same travel dates) until departure, and book a lower fare product if and when such a product becomes available. We propose a methodology to account for this behavior in the framework of hybrid network revenue management, and present the theory and simulation results of the benefits of this approach.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Barnhart, C., Belobaba, P.P. and Odoni, A.R. (2003) Applications of operations research in the air transport industry. Transportation Science 37 (4): 368–391.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Belobaba, P.P. (1987) Air travel demand and airline seat inventory management. Doctoral Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA.

  • Belobaba, P.P. (1989) Application of a probabilistic decision model to airline seat inventory control. Operations Research 37 (2): 183–197.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Belobaba, P.P. (1992) Optimal vs. Heuristic Methods for Nested Seat Allocation. Brussels, Belgium: AGIFORS Reservation Control Study Group Presentation.

    Google Scholar 

  • Belobaba, P.P. (1994) Network Seat Inventory Control without Network Optimization. Hong Kong: AGIFORS Reservations and Yield Management Study Group.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cleophas, C. (2009) Simulation-based analysis of forecast performance evaluations for airline revenue management. PhD Thesis, University of Paderborn, Germany.

  • Cooper, W., Homem-de-Mello, T. and Kleywegt, A. (2006) Models of the spiral-down effect in revenue management. Operations Research 54 (5): 968–987.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cross, R.A. (1997) Revenue Management: Hard Core Tactics for Market Domination. New York: Broadway Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fiig, T. and Isler, K. (2004) SAS O&D Low Cost Project, PODS Consortium Meeting Presentation J, Minneapolis, MN, USA.

  • Fiig, T., Isler, K., Hopperstad, C. and Belobaba, P.P. (2010) Optimization of mixed fare structures: Theory and applications. Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management 9 (1): 152–170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fiig, T., Isler, K., Hopperstad, C. and Cléaz-Savoyen, R. (2005) DAVN-MR: A Unified Theory of O&D Optimization in a Mixed Network with Restricted and Unrestricted Fare Products, AGIFORS Reservations and Yield Management Study Group Meeting, Cape Town, South Africa, May.

  • Isler, K. (2004) On the Equivalence of Airline Revenue Management and Pricing Problems. Technical Report, Operations Research, Swiss International Air Lines Ltd.

  • Lautenbacher, C. and Stidham Jr, S. (1999) The underlying Markov decision process in the single-leg airline yield-management problem. Transportation Science 33 (2): 136–146.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGill, J.I. and Van Ryzin, G.J. (1999) Revenue management: Research overview and prospects. Transportation Science 33 (2): 233–256.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oosten, M. and Walczak, D. (2005) Transforming Pricing Problems. Presented at the 5th Annual INFORMS Revenue Management and Pricing Section Conference. Cambridge, MA: MIT.

    Google Scholar 

  • Phillips, R.L. (2005) Pricing and Revenue Optimization. Stanford, USA: Stanford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Talluri, K.T. and van Ryzin, G. (2004) The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management. New York, USA: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Walczak, D. (2003) Dynamic Programs for Revenue Management and Dynamic Pricing. Presented at Annual Conference of Canadian OR Society (CORS) Vancouver, BC.

  • Walczak, D., Mardan, S. and Kallesen, R. (2010) Customer choice, fare adjustments and the marginal expected revenue data transformation: A note on using old yield management techniques in the brave new world of pricing. Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management 9 (1): 94–109.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zimmermann, B., Cleophas, C. and Frank, M. (2011) Universeller simulator für revenue management. Internationales Verkehrswesen 63 (3): 76–80.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

3graduated from the University of Karlsruhe, Germany, with a degree in Business Engineering, he now is a PhD student of the Freie Universität, Berlin. His doctoral work is sponsored by a Lufthansa fellowship and focuses on analyzing and managing complexity in airline revenue management.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Gorin, T., Walczak, D., Bartke, P. et al. Incorporating cancel and rebook behavior in revenue management optimization. J Revenue Pricing Manag 11, 645–660 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1057/rpm.2012.6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/rpm.2012.6

Keywords

Navigation