Tourism Hospitality Research

TABLE 2

FROM:

Forecasting and evaluating the tourist hotel industry performance in Taiwan based on Grey theory

Wann-Yih Wu, Shih-Wen Hsiao and Cheng-Hung Tsai

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Table 2. The grades of forecasting accuracy

Residual error test Post-error test
Grade e(k) 1 Grade P 2 C 3
Useful1- e(k)Good>0.95<0.35
 greater than or equal to90% Qualified>0.8<0.5
  Just the mark>0.7<0.65
Useless1- e(k)<90% Unqualifiedless than or equal to0.7greater than or equal to0.65

1  e(k)=|x (0)(k)- ital xcirc (0)(k)/x (0)(k)| times 100% .

2  P =Prob.{|q(k)|<0.6745S 1}.

3  C =S 2/S 1.

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